UFC 107 Analysis And Prediction For The BJ Penn Versus Diego Sanchez Fight

Without a doubt, BJ "The Prodigy" Penn is the greatest 155 pound on the globe. There isn't one inch the division that will touch him. Most 155 pound fighters can't even touch him BUT Diego "Nightmare" Sanchez is not a 155 pound fighter.

It could be surprising to the majority of that you will choose Diego Sanchez to get over BJ Penn but he's difficulties with bigger fighters and he's issues with fighters that like to press the action. That and the +220 online sports betting odds, leads me to get my cash on the underdog within this fight.

Diego is really a slightly better wrestling and he's got better striking. The real determining aspect in why he can win this fight is pace. Diego Sanchez will push the pace with the fight and the man will pressure the fights. BJ Penn likes to control his mixed martial arts fights however when a fighter takes control from the pace they are able to dictate and beat BJ.

Also BJ Penn has issues with fighters that are bigger and stronger than him. Penn lost to Georges St Pierre twice because GSP was bigger and the man pushed the pace with the fight. Penn lost to Matt Hughes as he had not been healthy and nearby the end from the fight Hughes pushed the pace and he was a bigger fighter.

Diego Sanchez can be a big 155 pound fighter. He is commonly a welterweight fighter and could even fight at middleweight if he wanted to. He will cut plenty of weigh coming into this fight and after his weight cut, Sanchez will most likely be at 170 pounds fight day. He will be an extremely larger and more powerful fighter anf the husband will pose Penn some problems as a result of Diego's size.

Size can play big role on this fight, and Penn hasn't done so well with fighters which are bigger than him. BJ dominates same size fighters like he did with Kenny Florian and Sean Sherk. But remember Sanchez could be the bigger fighter and that is really a major factor when fighting BJ Penn.

Diego is often a fighter that is always fit and the man will pressure Penn as soon as the fight starts. He will likely be capable of back Penn up with his aggressive pressure and confuse him along with his strikes and kicks. After the first 2 rounds Penn will probably be exhausted trying to keep track of Diego's' pace. When Penn fought Matt Hughes the next time he was dominating him but by round 3 he was away from gas and Hughes turned it down. His last fight with St Pierre he was getting thrown off his game by round 4 he couldn't continue. If Diego can push the pace he will tire out Penn and go ahead and take fight in the latter rounds.

While a lot of people desire a decade or maybe more to become a black belt, Penn got his black belt with only three years of coaching. BJ Penn is acknowledged for his jiu-jitsu but if you look at his record in MMA he wins all of his fights by rear naked choke. Now if you stop working his grappling game he dominates the grappling game as he is equal in weight. If Diego Sanchez were the identical weight and dimensions he almost certainly would dominate your dream.

However, Diego is not any slouch on a lawn. His no gi game is very good and possesses even competed at the ADCC 2005 Absolute Division championships. The Abu Dhabi will be the most prestigious grapping tournament on earth which is something BJ Penn never competed in before. Diego won his first fight with the ADCC and lost his second fight to Marcelo Garcia who's regarded as being one in the best grapplers on earth. That was when Diego never even competed having a gi before. In 2005, Sanchez wrestled for his high school in New Mexico before commencing training MMA with Greg Jackson at Jackson's Submission Fighting that is regarded as being the top MMA trainer on earth. Despite never employing a gi in grappling Diego includes a very tight grappling game.

Striking wise you must offer a slight edge to Diego. Diego can have the reach and power advantage in the striking. He will probably be greater fighter and he can push off and jab his punches so BJ Penn won't to go into close. Technically BJ Penn is often a better striker with better fundamentals but he will be mistaken for the sheer volume of strikes as well as the reach.

Bottom Line: Remember Diego Sanchez was obviously a format member in the Greg Jackson team and Jackson was inside the corner when GSP fought Penn so Sanchez will fight the same fight that St Pierre fought. Sanchez will likely be prepared for this fight anf the husband will shock many.

I love the fact Sanchez will be the bigger, stronger and more aggressive fighter. These are the three factors that BJ Penn has troubles with in fighters. UFC sports betting wise the +220 betting likelihood is perfect and I would lay a smaller amount for the money line for Diego to win this fight. I don't think Diego has the ability to knock out Penn or even the grappling skill to sub him but he has hold the power and strength to win the stand and obtain the pack up points.

He also has the skill in top position to have effective ground and pound. If he is in Penn's guard, he'll almost certainly perform similar thing GSP did and use his size and chance to punish Penn. The Ribeiro brothers will show him how you can fight effectively inside guard. If Diego stays within the top position he is able to control the bottom game. If Penn is onto it will likely be over. However, Penn will have trouble getting top position or taking Diego's back since he could be the bigger stronger fighter.

I do believe Diego does not have the skills to get over Penn but she has the stamina and power to hurt Penn and convey this fight late into the rounds. By the time Penn hits the forth round he can be gassed which is when Sanchez will need over. The best bet is to bet around the UFC prop bet for Diego to win by decision. He will hurt and confuse Penn together with his strikes and kicks. BJ will not be able to close the distance while he will be the smaller fighter. BJ Penn carries a lot to look out for on this fight like strikes, kicks, takedowns and also the ground and pound while Sanchez only has to stress not letting go of his back or becoming on the bottom.

Look for Diego Sanchez being the New UFC Lightweight Champion which has a Split Decision

Written by Stan Leung and sboarena delivered by .